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July 2017

Unexpected UK inflation fall takes markets by surprise

Published: Tuesday 18 July 2017

There were more surprises for the markets today, as unexpected UK inflation data results from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that the rate of inflation in the UK has dropped from 2.9 percent in May to 2.6 percent in June.
By Rachael Kinsella
This is the first time the inflation rate has decreased since October 2016.

Markets had expected the rate to remain the same or fall only very slightly.

Contributing factors included another fall in fuel prices, which dropped again in June for the fourth consecutive month.

Looking at the bigger picture, inflation remains above the average increase in standard wages across the UK, at 1.8 percent. 

David Kerns, corporate development lead at currency specialist, Halo Financial, commented, “Today’s dip in inflation will be very much welcomed by the British cash strapped consumers, who have seen their living standards squeezed, as inflation climbs quicker than wages.”

“Further proof in the pudding will be when we get the latest UK retail sales figures released this Thursday, providing a diagnosis on how spending is holding up in light of the rising pressure on British household budgets. ”
In response to the results, the Pound has fallen to 1.12 against the Euro, and has also dropped almost a cent against the US Dollar, hovering around 1.30 at the time of writing.

David Kerns continues, “We also await comments from Bank of England Governor, Mark Carney, later today, which could also have an impact on Sterling strength, as we have seen in recent weeks. The cooling UK inflation data takes the pressure off the Bank of England to raise rates in 2017 to curb inflation; so we may therefore see a more accommodative stance from policymakers in this period of uncertainty.”

“Every political and economic announcement is having at least some effect on the Pound in the continually volatile currency markets, which are moving constantly, so businesses and individuals alike need to keep a close eye on the latest developments and their effects on exchange rates,” concludes Kerns.

About Halo Financial

Halo Financial is a leading UK foreign exchange brokerage, offering a comprehensive range of services to individuals and businesses since its inception in 2005. The business prides itself on offering a flexible and personalised approach for each of its clients, simplifying the seemingly complex foreign exchange market to maximise savings in currency transactions, protect against currency risk and make money go further.

Staffed by qualified technical analysts, the company is authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority and HM Revenue and Customs.

“Excellent”, “Reliable”, “Professional”, “Knowledgeable”, and “Helpful”– just some of the great feedback received as a Gold Trusted Service Provider for Feefo.com. The team at Halo are proud that customers rate their services so highly and are happy to recommend to others. The company is always striving to provide the best possible service and to innovate services and products in line with customers’ ever-evolving needs.

Halo Financial won Best Customer Focus category in the 2016 Best Business Awards; received OPP Gold for Best Supporting Service; the Gold Award for Financial Support and Innovation from Relocate Magazine, Commendations in the 2016 and 2017 Moneyfacts Awards and has 5 out 5 Star Customer Gold Merchant Status via independent review website, Feefo.com, winning their Gold Trusted Service award.

Rachael.kinsella@halofinancial.com │+44 (0)20 7350 5473 │www.halofinancial.com

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